Oct. 29: Trump and Biden in Close Race as Texas Achieves Swing-state Status

Election 2020 graphic with outline of state imposed on background image of capital building

UMass Lowell Center for Public Opinion conducted a survey Oct. 20-26, 2020 of 873 Texas likely voters in the upcoming 2020 presidential election. 

Topline (pdf) 

Highlights (pdf)

Methodology (pdf)

Press Release 

Key Findings

  • With minor party candidates included on the ballot, Trump has the support of 48% of Texas likely voters, Biden is at 47%, other candidates are at 3%, and only 1% of Texas likely voters say they are undecided.
  • Biden is winning 94% of Democrats, while Trump is winning 90% of Republicans. However, among pure Independents, 39% are for Biden compared to 48% for Trump.
  • In a closely watched U.S. Senate race in Texas, Republican incumbent Sen. John Cornyn has seen his lead cut in half in a race against Democratic challenger MJ Hegar. Cornyn, who previously led Hegar by 10 points a month ago, now polls at 49% to Hegar’s 44%, with 5% of voters undecided.