Feb. 3: New Hampshire Democratic Primary Wide Open

Election 2020 graphic with outline of state imposed on background image of capital building

UMass Lowell Center for Public Opinion conducted a survey Jan. 28-31, 2020 of 400 New Hampshire Democratic Primary likely voters.

Topline (pdf)

Highlights (pdf)

Methodology (pdf)

Press Release

Key Findings

  • With just eight days to go until the 2020 first-in-the-nation Granite State primary, Sanders is on top, garnering the support of 23 percent of New Hampshire Democratic primary likely voters. However, his closest rival, former Vice President Joe Biden, trails him by only 1 point at 22 percent, and Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren trails by just 4 points at 19 percent.  All three candidates are within the poll’s margin of error, suggesting that this race is too close to call.   
  • Nearly four in ten voters (39 percent) said they could still change their mind, which highlights the fluidity of this race and the reputed independence of the New Hampshire electorate. 
  • In response to the tongue-in-cheek question of whether NH Democratic primary voters would prefer that Donald Trump win re-election in 2020 or that a giant meteor strike the earth and extinguish all human life, 62 percent preferred the meteor to Trump’s reelection.